It was nice to get back on the score sheet this afternoon -
and, even though I say so myself, it was thoroughly deserved !
The
write-up may have lacked its usual accuracy, in terms of spelling and
punctuation (apologies for that, tipping late gives makes timings incredibly
tight), but what it lacked in gloss, it more than made up for in
substance.
Race after race, I was there - or thereabouts - so much so, it
would have taken quite some effort to not tip a winner (something I hasten to
add, I am more than capable of achieving !).
Thankfully, I got one of the
border line calls right - and Happy Diva did the rest !
To be fair, she
wasn’t a borderline call in terms of the chance I felt she had - just in terms
of how much value was left in her compressed price.
As I mentioned this
morning, she was 16/1 generally, all week (20/1 in places) - and that makes it
quite hard to take 12/1.
I was pretty sure her price would drift - simply
because of the strength of the race - but that’s only of limited use to me when
I'm tipping.
It was a similar story with Ballyoisin last week - so at
least I’ve learnt the lesson !
In terms of how the race panned out - then
it went pretty much as I’d hoped !
I watched her all the way round - and
she barely missed a beat.
One sound jump after another, as her rivals were
busy bumping into fences and sprawling about !
She was always a very good
bet to place - the question was whether she was a good bet to win…
I
don’t know about that - but things fell right for her (in the case of Slate
House, quite literally !) - and she was good enough and brave enough to take
advantage.
It’s a while since I’ve got so much pleasure from a
winner…
Earlier in the card, things hadn’t gone quite so well with Big
River.
I wasn’t unduly concerned that he started near the front - and
worked his way back through the field, as I expected him to stay on late.
However, when he nearly fell at the third last, it quickly became clear that
it was game over.
He may have had ticks in just about every box - but he
looked slow this afternoon, up against some speedier southern rivals.
Maybe I
should have taken heed of my initial instincts !
The Butler Said was the
third tip at Cheltenham - and he was backed in to a ridiculous 3/1 at the
off.
He ran a fair race, but was a bit too far off the pace and couldn’t
make up ground in the heavy conditions.
The race was won by Golan Fortune
- who I had suggested might be one to keep an eye out for, at a big
price.
I did actually half consider tipping him - but felt there was just
a bit too much speculation (he had run only once in 2 years - and finished well
beaten).
Ofcourse, he became far more attractive when the early 33/1
became 14/1 at the off. It’s funny how often that kind of market moves precedes
a very big run…
The final tip at Cheltenham was Shanwalla.
As I said
this morning, it was impossible to be confident about him winning - though I was
confident about him out-runnig his odds.
And I was quite right on that
score, as he ran a huge race to finish third.
I was a little surprised to
see him held up (he’s made the running in all of his starts in Ireland) - and
whilst I don’t think that cost him the race, it probably didn’t give him his
best chance of winning.
In truth, he was probably just beaten by a couple
of horses who are way ahead of their mark.
That’s always a danger in a race
of that nature - but it doesn’t stop him from being a very good bet.
The
only other tip on the day, was at Punchestown.
I decided to take on
Klassical Dream in the Grade 1 Morgiana hurdle - despite him being sent off at
odds of 2/5 !
And that was another good shout, as he look in need of the
run and could only finish third.
Better than that, the 25/1 selection,
Petite Mouchoir finished ahead of him - but unfortunately, only by one
place.
He ran a really good race - but I just felt that Rachael Blackmore
just didn’t quite make enough use of him.
He led to the last - but was
then over taken.
However, he was fighting back on the run in…
They are
fine lines - and I feel that we were just on the wrong side of one
there…
As for the Mentions, then all 3 of them also ran well.
Walk
Again looked like taking advantage of Faugheens sloppy jumping - but the
ex-champion managed to stay on his feet and rallied after the last to win going
away.
There is no substitute for class
Thatsmyseat was unplaced in the
juvenile hurdle at Cheltenham - but she travelled really well and appeared to
have a good chance, approaching the second last.
They probably don't have
hills like the Cheltenham one, in France !
Whilst in the closing bumper, Lady
in Hiding ran a remarkably similar race to the one she had run in a remarkably
similar contest at the October meeting.
Turning in, she looked the one to
beat - but then she got caught out by the pace change, before staying on late to
take third.
When she is put over hurdles, she will want further than the
minimum trip, that’s for sure…
All in all then, not a bad day.
I did
tell you that the season would start to warm up this weekend
;)
TVB.
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